This Week With The Professor: Over Handicapping

Over-Handicapping

One of the most common and most difficult faults to overcome is over handicapping. There can be a fine line between being thorough in your analysis of a race, and being so thorough that you become paralyzed and unable to make a rational decision on what to play. I wish I had a magic pill for this malady, but I don’t. I can think of many times early in my handicapping career that my inital thinking of a race was correct, but I started doubting myself becasue of the odds or discussions I had with others so that I ended up changing my mind and then regretting it.

My best advice is to trust your initial thoughts when looking at the program. By saying that, I don’t mean that you should do a quick look and just go with it. You should have a fairly good idea of what you think the race looks like, then expand on that. It is not necessary or wise to try and make a case for every greyhound in the race becasue if you do that, you will end up confusing yourself and not having confidence in your wagering. The old saying “go with your gut” is a good one.

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